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Nov 4, 2012 6:00am PST
've performed in past elections and he comes up with probabilities like gambling odds. >> florida, for example, we had romney with a 60% chance of winning. that's how often when you have a one-point lead in the average of polls you've wound up winning in the past. in ohio we have obama with about a 75% chance of winning because he has a larger lead so it's more likely to be enduring on election day itself. >> i'm projecting that you need to win 99 games in order to make it to the post office. >> reporter: think money ball, the book and film about how a geek used numbers to outdo the oakland a's scouts using their intuition to find undervalued baseball players who could win. in other words, the stat-heads versus the pundits again. nate silver started out as a baseball statistician before moving on to politics. his new book "the signal and the noise" describes his theories. in the 2008 election, silver called 49 out of 50 states right. tell me what the difference between the kind of poll that cbs does and the sort of process that nate silver goes through. >> well, i think those are very differen
Search Results 0 to 1 of about 2 (some duplicates have been removed)